Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.059218 1.201921 1.357445 1.539642 1.747392 1.977080 2.250539
2026-01-04 0.818633 1.007474 1.231105 1.515977 1.869986 2.296457 2.850768
2026-01-11 0.707885 0.921538 1.189566 1.551558 2.029408 2.641009 3.487066
2026-01-18 0.619595 0.844119 1.139258 1.557309 2.137086 2.916955 4.052688
2026-01-25 0.543331 0.769591 1.079166 1.536011 2.197177 3.125642 4.539601
2026-02-01 0.478074 0.700859 1.016681 1.500027 2.226614 3.286953 4.967789
2026-02-08 0.423999 0.641231 0.959229 1.462270 2.245069 3.428264 5.374013
2026-02-15 0.391418 0.609463 0.938410 1.475212 2.338219 3.686653 5.982682
2026-02-22 0.358845 0.573988 0.907720 1.468259 2.397130 3.894010 6.527006
2026-03-01 0.327915 0.537833 0.872031 1.448688 2.431765 4.062621 7.020427
2026-03-08 0.293579 0.492788 0.817632 1.392314 2.398138 4.112311 7.311124
2026-03-15 0.271479 0.466050 0.790819 1.379508 2.436653 4.286412 7.836081
2026-03-22 0.257308 0.453924 0.791525 1.421841 2.589726 4.700110 8.890915
2026-03-29 0.233504 0.423002 0.757482 1.400281 2.628367 4.918765 9.622873
2026-04-05 0.220531 0.410015 0.753640 1.433039 2.770836 5.344894 10.810891
2026-04-12 0.205257 0.391030 0.736592 1.438334 2.860042 5.677401 11.852199
2026-04-19 0.188574 0.367568 0.708569 1.418724 2.896699 5.908428 12.710238
2026-04-26 0.172163 0.342937 0.675730 1.385590 2.901266 6.073113 13.444976
2026-05-03 0.157333 0.319971 0.643867 1.350822 2.897938 6.219695 14.156899
2026-05-10 0.148709 0.308816 0.634715 1.362740 2.996119 6.595334 15.440780
2026-05-17 0.139115 0.294680 0.617981 1.356337 3.052705 6.884640 16.559153
2026-05-24 0.129362 0.279261 0.597040 1.338313 3.080639 7.111403 17.555472
2026-05-31 0.117669 0.258530 0.562712 1.286394 3.023906 7.134099 18.045865